ITRI Tin Annual Review 2009

A detailed report by the world authority on tin, available now

For decades the tin market has moved from one crisis to another, and the current world recession is now raising new challenges for all stakeholders in the industry. In the short-term the market is again oversupplied, but in a few years the situation could change dramatically. This new report analyses the impact of the global economic crisis on tin usage, production and investment in new mine projects and forecasts prices to 2013 in various scenarios.

This second major study by ITRI is based on our ongoing statistical work and network of contacts with tin producers and consumers. It draws heavily on primary sources, including data gathered from new field research in tin producing countries and a very large direct sample survey of major consumers. It is produced by a team with many decades of experience in tin market analysis and applications technology.

The service is available in both hard copy and electronic format, with all statistics provided in Excel spreadsheets and charts in PowerPoint. The authors are available to present and discuss the work to subscribers.

New and improved features this year:

• More tabulation of data makes the report easier to use
• More comprehensive and up-to-date consumer survey data, now covering companies that account for over 40% of world usage
• More detail on potential new mines and their likely economic viability
• New appendices covering long-term trends in supply and demand and technology change
• Reporting on the big changes since September 2008 based on a visits to major producing countries in the last few months.

Price UK£6,000.

For further information please contact:
Peter Kettle - Manager, Statistics & Market Studies
Direct Tel: +44 (0)1727 871 347
Fax: +44 (0)1727 871 345
Switchboard: +44 (0)1727 875 544
e-mail: peter.kettle@itri.co.uk

Download details and order form

Table of Contents

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

CHAPTER 1: THE OUTLOOK FOR TIN USAGE TO 2013

Overview of recent developments

Tin end-use patterns in 2007

Market trends in solders
Market trends in tinplate

ITRI 2008 consumer survey results

Survey coverage and findings

Solders
Tinplate
Tin chemicals
Other applications

ITRI 2009 snap survey results

Final estimates of 2008 usage
Demand trends and prospects in 2009

Technology drivers – key issues and latest developments

Solders

Lead-free soldering
Advanced solders
Competitive threats to solder

Tinplate

Innovation
Sustainability
Bisphenol A

Tin chemicals

Cement
Glass coatings
Catalysts
Fire retardants
Organotins
Anti-microbial agents
Water treatment

Energy technologies

Fuel catalysts
Lead-acid batteries
Lithium ion batteries
Fuel cells

Forecast tin usage to 2013

Tin usage in recessions
Exposure to toxic sectors
Outlook by application
Forecasts by country and region

CHAPTER 2: TIN SUPPLY TO 2013

Overview of recent developments
The structure of tin supply
Overview of mine project activity
Production prospects by country

China

The raw materials issue

Indonesia

Production trends and economics
Politics and exports

Malaysia

Thailand

Other Asia

Peru and Brazil

Bolivia

The state mining and metals companies
Other possible projects

Other Americas

Australia

DR Congo

Other Africa

Europe

Secondary production
Forecast tin production to 2013

Mine production
Refined tin production

CHAPTER 3: MARKET BALANCES AND PRICE SCENARIOS TO 2013

The tin market in 2008/2009
Tin versus other LME metals
Government stockpiles
Forecast price parameters

Price history
Production costs
Substitution risks

Required investment in new mines

Supply/demand and price forecasts to 2013

Depression scenario
Bounce-back scenario

APPENDIX I: Long-term trends in supply, demand and prices

The tin industry from 1900
Historical trends in tin usage

Trends by region and application
Tin usage versus economic growth

Historical trends in production
World reserves and resources
Long-term history of tin prices

APPENDIX II: Technology change, new applications and substitution threats

Overview

Lead substitution
Substitution and mitigation of other elements
Organotins
Sustainability
New chemical uses

Solders

Lead-free solders
Advanced solders
Competitive threats to solders

Tinplate

Competitive packaging
Sustainability

Chemicals

PVC stabilisers
Fire retardants
Brake pads
Cement
Water treatment
Biocides

Tin alloys

Ammunition
Lead-acid batteries
Fishing weights

APPENDIX III: Statistical data